Foresight in Action

Foresight in Action

Author: Marjolein Van Asselt

Publisher: Routledge

ISBN: 1138866997

Category: Business & Economics

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Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a finding that has important ramifications for how the resulting images of the future should be interpreted. It also shows the need for rewriting and updating theory. This book, based on an intensive five year study of how experts actually go about assessing the future, provides a groundbreaking examination of foresighting in action. Obtained via ethnographic techniques, the results lay bare for the first time the real processes by which scenarios are made. It is also the first book to examine foresighting for public policy, which is so often overlooked in favour of business practice. From handling of discontinuity to historical determinism, the analysis reveals and explains why foresight is difficult and what the major pitfalls are. Each chapter ends with a toolkit of recommendations for practice. The book aims to help readers to reflect on their own practices of public-oriented foresight and thus to foster a deeper understanding of the key principles and challenges. Ultimately, this will lead to better informed decision making.
Foresight in Action
Language: en
Pages: 192
Authors: Marjolein van Asselt
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2012-06-25 - Publisher: Routledge

Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a
Foresight in Action
Language: en
Pages:
Authors: Marjolein Van Asselt, Susan Van 't Klooster
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2015-06-01 - Publisher: Routledge

Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a
Foresight in Action
Language: en
Pages: 192
Authors: Marjolein van Asselt
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2012-06-25 - Publisher: Routledge

Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a
Anticipating Future Innovation Pathways Through Large Data Analysis
Language: en
Pages: 360
Authors: Tugrul U. Daim, Denise Chiavetta, Alan L. Porter, Ozcan Saritas
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2016-07-25 - Publisher: Springer

This book aims to identify promising future developmental opportunities and applications for Tech Mining. Specifically, the enclosed contributions will pursue three converging themes: The increasing availability of electronic text data resources relating to Science, Technology and Innovation (ST&I). The multiple methods that are able to treat this data effectively and
Foresight in Organizations
Language: en
Pages: 268
Authors: Patrick van der Duin
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2016-01-13 - Publisher: Routledge

Foresight for Organizations will acquaint the reader with various foresight methods and tools, to show the reader how these methods are used, what the pitfalls are and how the methods relate to each other. This innovative volume offers the reader the ability to carry out a study of the future